{"id":112487,"date":"2024-10-10T10:22:59","date_gmt":"2024-10-10T03:22:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=112487"},"modified":"2024-10-10T10:22:59","modified_gmt":"2024-10-10T03:22:59","slug":"why-were-confident-with-only-half-the-story","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=112487","title":{"rendered":"Why We\u2019re Confident with Only Half the Story"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><strong>Summary: <\/strong>A new study reveals that people often overestimate the amount of information they have when making decisions, a phenomenon researchers call the \u201cillusion of information adequacy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Participants who were only given partial information about a situation were just as confident in their decisions as those who had the complete story. They believed they had enough facts and thought others would likely make the same choice. However, when some participants were later presented with the opposing view, many were open to changing their decision, suggesting that having more complete information can bridge misunderstandings.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Key Facts<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>People feel confident in decisions, even with only partial information.<\/li>\n<li>This \u201cillusion of information adequacy\u201d leads to overconfidence in judgments.<\/li>\n<li>Additional information often leads to more informed, balanced decision-making.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Source: <\/strong>Ohio State University<\/p>\n<p><strong>If you smugly believe you\u2019re right in a disagreement with a friend or colleague, a new study suggests why you may actually be wrong.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Researchers found that people naturally assume they have all the information they need to make a decision or support their position, even when they do not.<\/p>\n<p>The researchers called it the \u201cillusion of information adequacy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe found that, in general, people don\u2019t stop to think whether there might be more information that would help them make a more informed decision,\u201d said study co-author Angus Fletcher, a professor of\u00a0English\u00a0at The Ohio State University and member of the university\u2019s\u00a0Project Narrative.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf you give people a few pieces of information that seems to line up, most will say \u2018that sounds about right\u2019 and go with that.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The study was published today in the journal\u00a0<em>PLOS ONE<\/em>. Fletcher completed the work with co-authors Hunter Gehlbach, an educational psychologist at Johns Hopkins University\u2019s School of Education, and Carly Robinson, a senior researcher at Stanford University\u2019s Graduate School of Education.<\/p>\n<p>The study involved 1,261 Americans who participated online.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>They were split into three groups who read an article about a fictional school that lacked adequate water. One group read an article that only gave reasons why the school should merge with another that had adequate water; a second group\u2019s article only gave reasons for staying separate and hoping for other solutions; and the third control group read all the arguments for the schools merging and for staying separate.<\/p>\n<p>The findings showed that the two groups who read only half the story \u2013 either just the pro-merging or the just the anti-merging arguments \u2013 still believed they had enough information to make a good decision, Fletcher said.\u00a0 Most of them said they would follow the recommendations in the article they read.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThose with only half the information were actually more confident in their decision to merge or remain separate than those who had the complete story,\u201d Fletcher said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey were quite sure that their decision was the right one, even though they didn\u2019t have all the information.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In addition, participants who had half the information said that they thought that most other people would make the same decision they did.<\/p>\n<p>There was one piece of good news from the study, Fletcher said. Some of the participants who had read only one side of the story later read the arguments for the other side. And many of those participants were willing to change their minds about their decision, once they had all the facts.<\/p>\n<p>That may not work all the time, especially on entrenched ideological issues, he said.\u00a0 In those cases, people may not trust new information, or they may try to reframe it to fit their preexisting views.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut most interpersonal conflicts aren\u2019t about ideology. They are just misunderstandings in the course of daily life,\u201d Fletcher said.<\/p>\n<p>These findings offer a complement to research on what is called na\u00efve realism, the belief people have that their subjective understanding of a situation is the objective truth, Fletcher explained.\u00a0 Research on na\u00efve realism often focuses on how people have different understandings of the same situation.<\/p>\n<p>But the illusion of information adequacy shows that people may share the same understanding \u2013 if they both have enough information.<\/p>\n<p>Fletcher, who studies\u00a0how people are influenced by the power of stories, said people should make sure they have the full story about a situation before they take a stand or make a decision.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAs we found in this study, there\u2019s this default mode in which people think they know all the relevant facts, even if they don\u2019t,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYour first move when you disagree with someone should be to think, \u2018Is there something that I\u2019m missing that would help me see their perspective and understand their position better?\u2019 That\u2019s the way to fight this illusion of information adequacy.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">About this psychology research news<\/h2>\n<p class=\"has-background\" style=\"background-color:#ffffe8\"><strong>Author: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/neurosciencenews.com\/cdn-cgi\/l\/email-protection#3c7b4e5d5e515955594e120d7c534f4912595849\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Jeff Grabmeier<\/a><br \/><strong>Source: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/osu.edu\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Ohio State University<\/a><br \/><strong>Contact: <\/strong>Jeff Grabmeier \u2013 Ohio State University<br \/><strong>Image: <\/strong>The image is credited to Neuroscience News<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-background\" style=\"background-color:#ffffe8\"><strong>Original Research: <\/strong>Open access.<br \/>\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/journals.plos.org\/plosone\/article?id=10.1371\/journal.pone.0310216\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The illusion of information adequacy<\/a>\u201d by Angus Fletcher et al. <em>PLOS ONE<\/em><\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-pale-cyan-blue-color has-alpha-channel-opacity has-pale-cyan-blue-background-color has-background\"\/>\n<p><strong>Abstract<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>The illusion of information adequacy<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>How individuals navigate perspectives and attitudes that diverge from their own affects an array of interpersonal outcomes from the health of marriages to the unfolding of international conflicts.<\/p>\n<p>The finesse with which people negotiate these differing perceptions depends critically upon their tacit assumptions\u2014e.g., in the bias of na\u00efve realism people assume that their subjective construal of a situation represents objective truth.<\/p>\n<p>The present study adds an important assumption to this list of biases:\u00a0<em>the illusion of information adequacy<\/em>. Specifically, because individuals rarely pause to consider what information they may be missing, they assume that the cross-section of relevant information to which they are privy is sufficient to adequately understand the situation.<\/p>\n<p>Participants in our preregistered study (<em>N =<\/em>\u00a01261) responded to a hypothetical scenario in which control participants received full information and treatment participants received approximately half of that same information.<\/p>\n<p> We found that treatment participants assumed that they possessed comparably adequate information and presumed that they were just as competent to make thoughtful decisions based on that information.<\/p>\n<p>Participants\u2019 decisions were heavily influenced by which cross-section of information they received.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, participants believed that most other people would make a similar decision to the one they made.<\/p>\n<p>We discuss the implications in the context of na\u00efve realism and other biases that implicate how people navigate differences of perspective.<\/p>\n<p> <!-- Form created by Optin Forms plugin by WPKube: create beautiful optin forms with ease! --> <!-- https:\/\/wpkube.com\/ --><!--optinforms-form5-container--> <!-- \/ Optin Forms --> <\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><div data-type=\"_mgwidget\" data-widget-id=\"1660802\">\r\n<\/div>\r\n<script>(function(w,q){w[q]=w[q]||[];w[q].push([\"_mgc.load\"])})(window,\"_mgq\");\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/neurosciencenews.com\/illusion-information-psychology-confidence-27820\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Summary: A new study reveals that people often overestimate the amount of information they have when making decisions, a phenomenon researchers call the \u201cillusion of information adequacy.\u201d Participants who were &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=112487\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-112487","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-health","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112487","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=112487"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112487\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=112487"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=112487"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=112487"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}