{"id":113402,"date":"2024-10-12T19:16:45","date_gmt":"2024-10-12T12:16:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=113402"},"modified":"2024-10-12T19:16:45","modified_gmt":"2024-10-12T12:16:45","slug":"trump-makes-gains-as-poll-figures-trigger-anxiety-for-harris-campaign-us-elections-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=113402","title":{"rendered":"Trump makes gains as poll figures trigger anxiety for Harris campaign | US elections 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"\">\n<p>&#8221; frameBorder=&#8221;0&#8243; class=&#8221;dcr-ivsjvk&#8221;&gt;<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">If that were to be replicated when voters go to the polls on 5 November, it would get Trump past the 270 electoral college votes threshold needed for victory and propel him back to the Oval Office.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">The crumb of comfort for Harris is that, with multiple surveys telling contradictory tales when the details are scrutinised, that particular outcome probably won\u2019t happen.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">Indeed, a simulation using polling, economic and demographic data from <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2024-election-forecast\/?cid=rrpromo\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">FiveThirtyEight<\/a> still had Harris winning the election 55 times out of 100, as of Thursday lunchtime. And a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/politics\/elections\/trump-harris-swing-state-poll-october-2024-c3ca9414?mod=hp_lead_pos1\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">Wall Street Journal survey<\/a> on Friday also painted a brighter outlook by showing Harris maintaining slight leads in Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin and Georgia \u2013 enough to give her a narrow electoral college win if borne out on polling day.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">Yet the margins are perplexing for Democratic strategists, given that the vice-president\u2019s campaign recently disclosed that it had raised $1bn within 80 days of Harris replacing Joe Biden as the party\u2019s nominee in July. The amount greatly surpasses that raised by Trump\u2019s campaign.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">By late August, Trump\u2019s campaign had brought in a relatively modest $309m, although it has the advantage of financial support from entrepreneur Elon Musk\u2019s Super Pac, which is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/tech\/tech-news\/musk-pac-signature-47-pay-refer-swing-state-voters-sign-petition-rcna174310\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">offering cash incentives<\/a> to people in swing states to register Trump-friendly voters.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">Whatever the cash advantages, Harris seems to have lost some momentum in the \u201cblue wall\u201d Rust belt battlegrounds of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania since her 10 September debate performance against Trump in Philadelphia, when she was generally seen as coming out on top.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">That was illustrated by a Quinnipiac University poll last Wednesday that recorded the five-point lead she held in Michigan in the week following the debate being transformed into a three-point advantage for Trump, 50% to 47%; in Wisconsin, a one-point post-debate advantage turned into a 2% lead for Trump. And in Pennsylvania, a six-point Harris lead was halved to 3%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">One issue casting a shadow over Harris\u2019s prospects is the intensifying conflict in the Middle East, with Israel\u2019s offensive against Hezbollah, the Iran-backed Lebanese Shia group, threatening to further erode support among the large ethnic Arab voting bloc in Michigan that was already angry over the White House\u2019s backing of the Israeli war against Hamas in Gaza.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">Quinnipiac\u2019s survey shows Trump with significant leads on the issue in both Michigan and Wisconsin.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">Trump has apparently become so confident of victory that he has begun moving beyond the battlegrounds to stage rallies in Democratic strongholds such as New York, California, Illinois and New York, despite polls indicating he has little chance of winning there. The move seems calculated to project an air of impending triumph.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">With just 24 days left before polling day, time is running out for Harris to correct her poll stutters, Democratic strategists fear. The timetable has been further curtailed by the twin storms, Hurricanes Helene and Milton, that have buffeted the south-east of the US in the past two weeks, diverting Harris from the campaign trail and presenting Trump with an opportunity to spout lies and falsehoods about her and Biden\u2019s supposed failure to mount a recovery effort.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">\u201cI\u2019m very, very concerned and very scared,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/4926445-james-carville-concerned-election\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">James Carville<\/a>, the acknowledged mastermind of Bill Clinton\u2019s successful 1992 campaign and author of its signature slogan \u2013 \u201cIt\u2019s the economy, stupid,\u201d \u2013 told MSNBC last week.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"b2917379-8015-4309-b3eb-6a6781a6e28a\" data-spacefinder-role=\"inline\" data-spacefinder-type=\"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.InteractiveAtomBlockElement\" class=\" dcr-173mewl\">\n<p><gu-island 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format(&quot;woff&quot;),url(https:\/\/assets.guim.co.uk\/static\/frontend\/fonts\/guardian-headline\/noalts-not-hinted\/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.ttf) format(&quot;truetype&quot;);font-weight:900;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Titlepiece;src:url(https:\/\/assets.guim.co.uk\/static\/frontend\/fonts\/guardian-titlepiece\/full-not-hinted\/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff2) format(&quot;woff2&quot;),url(https:\/\/assets.guim.co.uk\/static\/frontend\/fonts\/guardian-titlepiece\/full-not-hinted\/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff) format(&quot;woff&quot;),url(https:\/\/assets.guim.co.uk\/static\/frontend\/fonts\/guardian-titlepiece\/full-not-hinted\/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.ttf) format(&quot;truetype&quot;);font-weight:700;font-style:normal}.atom.svelte-he6tkg{background-color:transparent}&#10;&lt;\/style&gt;&lt;\/head&gt;&lt;body&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;div id=&quot;gv-atom-historical&quot;&gt;&#10;     &lt;div class=&quot;atom svelte-he6tkg&quot;&gt;&lt;section class=&quot;section-polltracker page-section svelte-14htowf&quot;&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;section-heading-line svelte-14obzfz&quot;&gt;&lt;h2 class=&quot;headline-main svelte-14obzfz&quot;&gt;&lt;span slot=&quot;main-heading&quot;&gt;Polling over time&lt;\/span&gt;&lt;\/h2&gt; &lt;h3 class=&quot;headline-light svelte-14obzfz&quot;&gt;&lt;span slot=&quot;sub-heading&quot;&gt;Polling average over a moving 10-day period. Each circle represents an individual poll result and is sized by 538's pollster rating&lt;\/span&gt;&lt;\/h3&gt; &lt;\/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;hold svelte-14htowf&quot; style=&quot;width: 100%; height: 430px; background-color: var(--primary-bg-color)&quot; data-svelte-h=&quot;svelte-1qkjue6&quot;&gt;&lt;p style=&quot;margin-top: 20px;&quot; class=&quot;svelte-14htowf&quot;&gt;Loading...&lt;\/p&gt;&lt;\/div&gt; &lt;\/section&gt; &lt;\/div&gt;&#10;&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;\/body&gt;&lt;script&gt;&#10;        var el = document.createElement('script');&#10;        el.src=\" https:=\"\" document.body.appendchild=\"\"><script><![CDATA[\n                            function resize() {\n                                window.frameElement.height = document.body.offsetHeight;\n                            }\n                            window.addEventListener('resize', resize);\n                            resize();\n                        ]]><\/script><script><![CDATA[\n                            var fonts = [].slice.apply(window.parent.document.styleSheets)\n                                .filter(function (sheet) { return sheet.ownerNode.className.indexOf(&quot;webfont&quot;) > - 1; })\n                                .map(function (sheet) { return sheet.ownerNode.textContent; })\n                                .join(' ');\n                            var css = document.createElement('style');\n                            css.textContent = fonts;\n                            document.head.appendChild(css);\n                        ]]><\/script><\/iframe><\/p>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"\">\n<p>&#8221; frameBorder=&#8221;0&#8243; class=&#8221;dcr-ivsjvk&#8221;&gt;<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">Warning of limited time for Harris to communicate a more aggressive message to voters, Carville continued: \u201cToday is gone. You\u2019re going to lose four to the hurricane \u2026 and everything kind of shuts down the Saturday before the election. So you\u2019re really probably under 20 days that you have to really get a message out.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">Calling for a targeted attack on Trump\u2019s plan to impose import tariffs \u2013 which economists have warned will stoke inflation \u2013 he added: \u201cThey need to be sharp. They need to be aggressive. They need to stop answering questions and start asking questions.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">But amid the gathering gloom, glimmers of light remain for Harris. Though survey after survey give Trump clear leads on issues of greatest importance to voters \u2013 namely, the economy, inflation and rising costs, and immigration \u2013 a majority of voters feel the country is headed in the wrong direction.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">And just as Harris has been unable to convert her financial reserves into clear poll leads, Trump is exhibiting a similar failing despite having the edge on some headline issues.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">The reason, the Wall Street Journal suggested, may be that his lead on economic issues is more nuanced than at first sight. For instance, Harris has a 6% advantage on bread-and-butter questions indicating that she \u201ccares about people like you\u201d. Likewise, while a majority said Trump has the right experience to be president, 48% said he was \u201ctoo extreme\u201d, compared with 34% who said the same about Harris, according to the paper\u2019s poll.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-an2vbh\">Harris may have failed to land an electoral knockout, but her opponent \u2013 for all his bombast and resilience \u2013 has vulnerabilities and weaknesses that make a victory on points within reach.<\/p>\n<p><gu-island name=\"SlotBodyEnd\" priority=\"feature\" deferuntil=\"visible\" 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frameBorder=&#8221;0&#8243; class=&#8221;dcr-ivsjvk&#8221;&gt; If that were to be replicated when voters go to the polls on 5 November, it would get Trump past the 270 electoral college votes threshold needed &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=113402\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8629],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-113402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-u-s","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113402","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=113402"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113402\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=113402"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=113402"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=113402"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}