{"id":119226,"date":"2024-10-28T06:55:48","date_gmt":"2024-10-27T23:55:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=119226"},"modified":"2024-10-28T06:55:48","modified_gmt":"2024-10-27T23:55:48","slug":"irans-leaders-stress-their-right-to-respond-to-israels-strikes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=119226","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Leaders Stress Their Right to Respond to Israel\u2019s Strikes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>Iran faces a dilemma after the Israeli strikes on Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>If it retaliates, it risks further escalation at a time when its economy is struggling, its allies are faltering, its military vulnerability is clear and its leadership succession is in play.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">If it does not, it risks looking weak to those same allies, as well as to more aggressive and powerful voices at home.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">Iran is already in the middle of a regional war. Since the Hamas-led attack on Oct. 7, 2023, Israel has moved swiftly to damage the militant group in Gaza and other Iranian proxies, including Hezbollah, the Houthis and its allies in Syria and Iraq.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">These groups represent Iran\u2019s \u201cforward defense\u201d against Israel, the heart of the nation\u2019s deterrence. They have been badly weakened by the Israeli military\u2019s tough response since Oct. 7, which weakens Iran, too, and makes it more vulnerable.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">Iranian officials have made it clear that they do not want a direct war with Israel. They want to preserve their allies, the so-called ring of fire around Israel.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">After Israel struck Iran, Tehran on Saturday publicly played down the effect of the attack and showed ordinary programming on television. It did not immediately vow a major retaliation, but simply restated its right to do so.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">Adding to its reticence, Iran faces enormous economic problems, making it wary of an extended and costly war with Israel. It has been heavily penalized by the United States and Europe over its nuclear program, forcing it to move ever closer to Russia and China.<\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"imageblock-wrapper\">\n<figure class=\"img-sz-medium css-d754w4 e1g7ppur0\" aria-label=\"media\" role=\"group\"><figcaption data-testid=\"photoviewer-children-caption\" class=\"css-gbc9ki ewdxa0s0\"><span class=\"css-jevhma e13ogyst0\">Members of Hamas\u2019 Qassam Brigades this month in Tripoli, Lebanon. Israel has moved hard against Iran\u2019s proxies, including Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis and Iranian allies in Syria and Iraq.<\/span><span class=\"css-1u46b97 e1z0qqy90\"><span class=\"css-1ly73wi e1tej78p0\">Credit&#8230;<\/span><span><span aria-hidden=\"false\">Diego Ibarra Sanchez for The New York Times<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">The Islamic regime is also dealing with serious domestic dissent over rising prices and its harsh rule, which play into any calculation for retaliation. The regime is both committed to the destruction of Israel, but also to preserving its power in a sophisticated country in which it is increasingly unpopular.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">That is one reason, analysts believe, the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, allowed the <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/07\/05\/world\/middleeast\/iran-election-reformist-wins.html\" title=\"\">election of a more moderate president, Masoud Pezeshkian<\/a>, after <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/05\/20\/world\/middleeast\/ebrahim-raisi-iran-dead.html\" title=\"\">the harder-line Ebrahim Raisi died<\/a> in a helicopter crash. Against the backdrop of domestic unrest, Mr. Pezeshkian has pushed for new talks on Iran\u2019s nuclear program in return for a lifting of economic sanctions, outreach that most likely could take place only with the permission of the supreme leader.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">The nuclear program is its own dilemma. The damage to allies over the past year, as well as its clear technical and military weakness compared with Israel, will put more pressure on Iran to advance its nuclear program and go for a bomb.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">Iran is already within weeks of creating bomb-quality uranium, and there are strong voices in Iran arguing that the best deterrent against Israel and the United States is to have nuclear weapons, as Israel itself possesses. But Iran also knows that a series of American presidents \u2014 including Donald J. Trump, who is running neck and neck against Vice President Kamala Harris in the U.S. presidential race \u2014 have vowed to prevent Iran from attaining an operational nuclear weapon.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">Complicating matters, a quiet battle has emerged over the succession of Ayatollah Khamenei, who is 85. With Mr. Raisi gone, there is internal disquiet over the possibility that Ayatollah Khamenei\u2019s second son, Mojtaba, 55, might succeed him. The powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps will have an important say and is considered more willing to confront Israel.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">Whatever Iran\u2019s ultimate calculation, hoping to avoid a larger war does not mean it can.<\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"imageblock-wrapper\">\n<figure class=\"img-sz-medium css-d754w4 e1g7ppur0\" aria-label=\"media\" role=\"group\"><figcaption data-testid=\"photoviewer-children-caption\" class=\"css-gbc9ki ewdxa0s0\"><span class=\"css-jevhma e13ogyst0\">Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran\u2019s supreme leader, in June in Tehran. Mr. Khamenei, 85, is believed to be seriously ill, and there is a quiet battle over succession.<\/span><span class=\"css-1u46b97 e1z0qqy90\"><span class=\"css-1ly73wi e1tej78p0\">Credit&#8230;<\/span><span><span aria-hidden=\"false\">Arash Khamooshi for The New York Times<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">Both Israel and Iran are eager to restore the so-called deterrence effect that they believe comes with retaliatory strikes. As they see it, it enhances their ability to intimidate each other and allows them to limit each other\u2019s power, in what Jeremy Shapiro, a former American diplomat, has called their \u201cgeopolitical manhood.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">This past week, as might be expected, Iran\u2019s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said that \u201cin the event of an Israeli attack, the shape of our response will be proportionate and calculated.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">These back-and-forth attacks, however carefully calibrated, can easily spill over into wider violence if a hospital or a school is hit, even by accident, and causes significant civilian casualties.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">As Daniel C. Kurtzer and Aaron David Miller wrote this week <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2024\/10\/23\/israel-hamas-war-gaza-sinwar-death-netayahu-ceasefire\/?utm_source=foreignpolicy&amp;utm_medium=pdf&amp;tpcc=fp_pdf\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">in Foreign Policy<\/a>, \u201ca spiraling tit for tat would likely prompt the Israelis to expand their target set, at a minimum, to include economic infrastructure.\u201d From there, they added, \u201cit\u2019s certainly possible to imagine a regional escalation, including Iranian attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">But Iran may also choose to heed American and British advice to call an end to this round of retaliations as negotiations for cease-fires in Gaza and Lebanon gather pace.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">Ali Vaez, the Iran project director for the International Crisis Group, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AliVaez\/status\/1849968387700511117\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">said on X<\/a> that Israel\u2019s response was \u201cconsiderably more robust\u201d than the one in April.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">Israel struck Iranian air defenses and missile manufacturing sites in three provinces, while also attacking targets in Iraq and Syria, according to Israel officials. But it avoided key infrastructure, energy and nuclear sites.<\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"imageblock-wrapper\">\n<figure class=\"img-sz-medium css-d754w4 e1g7ppur0\" aria-label=\"media\" role=\"group\"><figcaption data-testid=\"photoviewer-children-caption\" class=\"css-gbc9ki ewdxa0s0\"><span class=\"css-jevhma e13ogyst0\">A store on Saturday in Tehran. Adding to its reticence to retaliate, Iran faces enormous economic problems, making it wary of an extended and costly war with Israel.<\/span><span class=\"css-1u46b97 e1z0qqy90\"><span class=\"css-1ly73wi e1tej78p0\">Credit&#8230;<\/span><span><span aria-hidden=\"false\">Abedin Taherkenareh\/EPA, via Shutterstock<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">The key question, Mr. Vaez said, was simple: \u201cWhether Tehran will absorb the hit and try to draw a line under this exchange or up the ante again with a counter-response.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">For Iran, the argument for climbing down the escalatory ladder is a strong one. But there are powerful voices like the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, which regularly press for a more aggressive response.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">The desire for Washington and Israel, too, is that the conflict with Iran \u201cbecomes once again a shadow war and not an overt war,\u201d said David Makovsky, a fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. \u201cIn today\u2019s world that would be an achievement. You don\u2019t end the enmity but bring it under control.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">Sanam Vakil, the director of the Middle East Program at Chatham House, said that the U.S. presidential election in November is also a factor. \u201cIf Iran wants to avoid a broader escalatory conflict in advance of the uncertain U.S. election, it must take the hit and play a longer strategic game focused on diplomatic outreach to the region and openings should they emerge from the West,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-h61jh5 evys1bk0\">By playing down the effect of the strike and pressing for a cease-fire, she said, \u201cIran will try to turn the tables on Israel and translate its military weakness into diplomatic openings.\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"css-5dm9xx\">\n<div class=\"css-acwcvw\"><strong class=\"css-1vg6q84\">A correction was made on<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Oct. 27, 2024<\/p>\n<p>:\u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"css-eg4v4b\">\n<p data-placeholder=\"Write a correction...\">An earlier version of this article incorrectly stated what is known about the current health of Iran\u2019s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He was said to have been ill in 2022.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><div data-type=\"_mgwidget\" data-widget-id=\"1660802\">\r\n<\/div>\r\n<script>(function(w,q){w[q]=w[q]||[];w[q].push([\"_mgc.load\"])})(window,\"_mgq\");\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/live\/2024\/10\/27\/world\/israel-iran-lebanon-gaza\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Iran faces a dilemma after the Israeli strikes on Saturday. If it retaliates, it risks further escalation at a time when its economy is struggling, its allies are faltering, its &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=119226\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-119226","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-world","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119226","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=119226"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119226\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=119226"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=119226"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=119226"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}