{"id":121396,"date":"2024-11-03T00:43:47","date_gmt":"2024-11-02T17:43:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=121396"},"modified":"2024-11-03T00:43:47","modified_gmt":"2024-11-02T17:43:47","slug":"harris-election-odds-overtake-trump-on-predictit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=121396","title":{"rendered":"Harris\u2019 Election Odds Overtake Trump On PredictIt"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"topline-heading\">Topline<\/h2>\n<p>Presidential election prediction markets continue to tilt in favor of Vice President Kamala Harris, whose odds have overtaken former President Donald Trump on one betting site for the first time in nearly a month, as polls indicate a practically tied race between the two candidates.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"embed-base image-embed embed-6\" role=\"presentation\"><figcaption><fbs-accordion><\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\">Election prediction markets have recently tilted toward Harris as Election Day nears.<\/p>\n<p><\/fbs-accordion><small>Copyright 2024 The Associated Press. All rights reserved<\/small><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Key Facts<\/h2>\n<div class=\"key-facts\">\n<div class=\"key-facts-element\">\n<p>PredictIt has placed a 51% chance of a Harris victory on Tuesday, marking the vice president\u2019s first lead over Trump\u2014who trails Harris at 49% odds\u2014on the site since Oct. 9<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"key-facts-element\">\n<p>Other betting markets still favor Trump in the presidential race: Trump leads Harris 59.5%-40.6% on <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1728331613316\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1728331613316\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1728331613316\" aria-label=\"Polymarket\">Polymarket<\/a>, 56%-44% on <a href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/markets\/pres\/presidential-elections\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/markets\/pres\/presidential-elections\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/kalshi.com\/markets\/pres\/presidential-elections\" aria-label=\"Kalshi\">Kalshi<\/a>\u2014where Harris received a one-point boost on Saturday\u2014and 58.2%-40.9% on <a href=\"https:\/\/smarkets.com\/politics\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/smarkets.com\/politics\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/smarkets.com\/politics\" aria-label=\"Smarkets\">Smarkets<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"key-facts-element\">\n<p>Harris has regained some ground on implied odds for the election in recent days, as Trump\u2019s odds have fallen 4.1% to a seven-day low of 56.3%, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/electionbettingodds.com\/President2024_week.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/electionbettingodds.com\/President2024_week.html\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/electionbettingodds.com\/President2024_week.html\" aria-label=\"Election Betting Odds\">Election Betting Odds<\/a>, which tracks movements across the four markets and <a href=\"https:\/\/betting.betfair.com\/betfair-predicts\/us-trackers\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/betting.betfair.com\/betfair-predicts\/us-trackers\/\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/betting.betfair.com\/betfair-predicts\/us-trackers\/\" aria-label=\"Betfair\">Betfair<\/a>, which favors Trump over Harris at nearly 60% odds.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong><em>Get Forbes Breaking News Text Alerts: <\/em><\/strong><em>We\u2019re launching text message alerts so you&#8217;ll always know the biggest stories shaping the day\u2019s headlines. Text \u201cAlerts\u201d to (201) 335-0739 or sign up <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/joinsubtext.com\/forbes\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/joinsubtext.com\/forbes\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/joinsubtext.com\/forbes\" aria-label=\"here\"><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/joinsubtext.com\/forbes\">here<\/em><\/a><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">Big Number<\/h2>\n<p>49%. That\u2019s the odds <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2024-election-forecast\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2024-election-forecast\/\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2024-election-forecast\/\" aria-label=\"FiveThirtyEight\u2019s\">FiveThirtyEight\u2019s<\/a> poll-based model gives Harris, implying she would win 49 times out of 100 election simulations, below Trump\u2019s 50%. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/interactive\/us-2024-election\/prediction-model\/president\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/interactive\/us-2024-election\/prediction-model\/president\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.economist.com\/interactive\/us-2024-election\/prediction-model\/president\" aria-label=\"The Economist\">The Economist<\/a> has Harris holding a 52%-48% edge over Trump, indicating she would win 52 times out of 100 simulations.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">Key Background<\/h2>\n<p>Amid a close race between Harris and Trump, election betting has surged in popularity as odds shift in favor of Trump. Some <a href=\"https:\/\/news.wfu.edu\/2024\/10\/24\/election-predictions-economist-share-insights-from-political-betting-markets\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/news.wfu.edu\/2024\/10\/24\/election-predictions-economist-share-insights-from-political-betting-markets\/\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/news.wfu.edu\/2024\/10\/24\/election-predictions-economist-share-insights-from-political-betting-markets\/\" aria-label=\"experts\">experts<\/a> have claimed the betting market is an indicator of the election\u2019s outcome, while others believe bettors are incentivized to have their predictions become reality. Nate Silver, an analyst for Polymarket and a pollster whose latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.natesilver.net\/p\/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.natesilver.net\/p\/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.natesilver.net\/p\/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model\" aria-label=\"forecast\">forecast<\/a> favors Harris, notes individual traders likely lean right politically, which could cause odds to be skewed in favor of Trump. Some markets have recently launched their own election betting platforms, including <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/dereksaul\/2024\/10\/28\/robinhood-launches-presidential-election-betting-market-allowing-users-to-wager-on-harris-and-trump\/\" target=\"_self\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/dereksaul\/2024\/10\/28\/robinhood-launches-presidential-election-betting-market-allowing-users-to-wager-on-harris-and-trump\/\" data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/dereksaul\/2024\/10\/28\/robinhood-launches-presidential-election-betting-market-allowing-users-to-wager-on-harris-and-trump\/\" aria-label=\"Robinhood\" rel=\"noopener\">Robinhood<\/a> and Interactive Brokers, while sites like Kalshi have been granted federal preemption to let users bet on elections in the U.S.<\/p>\n<p><fbs-ad position=\"inread\" progressive=\"\" ad-id=\"article-0-inread\" aria-hidden=\"true\" role=\"presentation\"\/><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">Further Reading<\/h2>\n<p><a class=\"embed-base color-body color-body-border link-embed embed-1 link-embed--long-title\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/dereksaul\/2024\/11\/01\/harris-election-betting-odds-rise-to-weekly-high-but-trump-still-markets-favorite\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Harris Election Betting Odds Rise To Weekly High\u2014But Trump Still Market\u2019s Favorite\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"forbesEmbedly:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/dereksaul\/2024\/11\/01\/harris-election-betting-odds-rise-to-weekly-high-but-trump-still-markets-favorite\/\"><span class=\"link-embed__info\"><span class=\"link-embed__provider\">Forbes<\/span><span class=\"link-embed__title\">Harris Election Betting Odds Rise To Weekly High\u2014But Trump Still Market\u2019s Favorite<\/span><small class=\"link-embed__byline\">By <span class=\"link-embed__author\">Derek Saul<\/span><\/small><\/span><span class=\"link-embed__thumbnail-wrapper\"><span class=\"link-embed__thumbnail allow-inline-style\" style=\"background-image: url(https:\/\/specials-images.forbesimg.com\/imageserve\/672530512829f4c06ab53703\/960x0.jpg?cropX1=0&amp;cropX2=3190&amp;cropY1=0&amp;cropY2=1795);\"\/><\/span><\/a><a class=\"embed-base color-body color-body-border link-embed embed-3 link-embed--long-title\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/dereksaul\/2024\/10\/17\/trumps-polymarket-odds-top-60-how-election-betting-markets-differ-from-polls\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Trump\u2019s Polymarket Odds Top 60%: How Election Betting Markets Differ From Polls\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"forbesEmbedly:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/dereksaul\/2024\/10\/17\/trumps-polymarket-odds-top-60-how-election-betting-markets-differ-from-polls\/\"><span class=\"link-embed__info\"><span class=\"link-embed__provider\">Forbes<\/span><span class=\"link-embed__title\">Trump\u2019s Polymarket Odds Top 60%: How Election Betting Markets Differ From Polls<\/span><small class=\"link-embed__byline\">By <span class=\"link-embed__author\">Derek Saul<\/span><\/small><\/span><span class=\"link-embed__thumbnail-wrapper\"><span class=\"link-embed__thumbnail allow-inline-style\" style=\"background-image: url(https:\/\/specials-images.forbesimg.com\/imageserve\/67117d47b9ab0ab396cf6336\/960x0.jpg?cropX1=0&amp;cropX2=3234&amp;cropY1=7&amp;cropY2=1824);\"\/><\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<a class=\"embed-base color-body color-body-border link-embed embed-5 link-embed--long-title\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/dereksaul\/2024\/10\/28\/robinhood-launches-presidential-election-betting-market-allowing-users-to-wager-on-harris-and-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Robinhood Launches Presidential Election Betting Market Allowing Users To Wager On Harris And Trump\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"forbesEmbedly:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/dereksaul\/2024\/10\/28\/robinhood-launches-presidential-election-betting-market-allowing-users-to-wager-on-harris-and-trump\/\"><span class=\"link-embed__info\"><span class=\"link-embed__provider\">Forbes<\/span><span class=\"link-embed__title\">Robinhood Launches Presidential Election Betting Market Allowing Users To Wager On Harris And Trump<\/span><small class=\"link-embed__byline\">By <span class=\"link-embed__author\">Derek Saul<\/span><\/small><\/span><span class=\"link-embed__thumbnail-wrapper\"><span class=\"link-embed__thumbnail allow-inline-style\" style=\"background-image: url(https:\/\/specials-images.forbesimg.com\/imageserve\/671f9336f68abc8d33fd86bc\/960x0.jpg?cropX1=0&amp;cropX2=2670&amp;cropY1=137&amp;cropY2=1639);\"\/><\/span><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><div data-type=\"_mgwidget\" data-widget-id=\"1660802\">\r\n<\/div>\r\n<script>(function(w,q){w[q]=w[q]||[];w[q].push([\"_mgc.load\"])})(window,\"_mgq\");\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/tylerroush\/2024\/11\/02\/harris-retakes-election-odds-lead-with-betting-market-as-trump-remains-favorite\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Topline Presidential election prediction markets continue to tilt in favor of Vice President Kamala Harris, whose odds have overtaken former President Donald Trump on one betting site for the first &hellip; <a 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