{"id":121875,"date":"2024-11-04T07:15:47","date_gmt":"2024-11-04T00:15:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=121875"},"modified":"2024-11-04T07:15:47","modified_gmt":"2024-11-04T00:15:47","slug":"donald-trumps-odds-of-election-victory-have-suddenly-gone-into-free-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=121875","title":{"rendered":"Donald Trump\u2019s Odds Of Election Victory Have Suddenly Gone Into Free Fall"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are entering the final days of their race for the White House, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/10\/29\/tesla-billionaire-elon-musk-declares-financial-emergency-as-357-trillion-debt-bomb-primes-a-bitcoin-price-boom-to-rival-gold\/\" target=\"_self\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/10\/29\/tesla-billionaire-elon-musk-declares-financial-emergency-as-357-trillion-debt-bomb-primes-a-bitcoin-price-boom-to-rival-gold\/\" data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/10\/29\/tesla-billionaire-elon-musk-declares-financial-emergency-as-357-trillion-debt-bomb-primes-a-bitcoin-price-boom-to-rival-gold\/\" aria-label=\"with Tesla billionaire Elon Musk warning of a &quot;financial emergency.&quot;\" rel=\"noopener\">with Tesla billionaire Elon Musk warning of a &#8220;financial emergency.&#8221;<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/app.deform.cc\/form\/0f3efc64-cf8c-4c1d-8bfa-2350f0a25bf0\/?page_number=0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/app.deform.cc\/form\/0f3efc64-cf8c-4c1d-8bfa-2350f0a25bf0\/?page_number=0\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/app.deform.cc\/form\/0f3efc64-cf8c-4c1d-8bfa-2350f0a25bf0\/?page_number=0\" aria-label=\"Unlock over $3,000 in perks including unparalleled access to a community of top Web3 entrepreneurs, creators, and investors, providing you with premium networking, priority access to global events, Free access to Forbes.com and our Forbes CryptoAsset &amp; Blockchain Advisor newsletter. Apply now!\"><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/app.deform.cc\/form\/0f3efc64-cf8c-4c1d-8bfa-2350f0a25bf0\/?page_number=0\"><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/app.deform.cc\/form\/0f3efc64-cf8c-4c1d-8bfa-2350f0a25bf0\/?page_number=0\">Unlock over $3,000 in perks including unparalleled access to a community of top Web3 entrepreneurs, creators, and investors, providing you with premium networking, priority access to global events, Free access to <\/em><\/strong>Forbes.com<em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/app.deform.cc\/form\/0f3efc64-cf8c-4c1d-8bfa-2350f0a25bf0\/?page_number=0\"> <\/em><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/app.deform.cc\/form\/0f3efc64-cf8c-4c1d-8bfa-2350f0a25bf0\/?page_number=0\"><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/app.deform.cc\/form\/0f3efc64-cf8c-4c1d-8bfa-2350f0a25bf0\/?page_number=0\">and our<\/em><\/strong><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/app.deform.cc\/form\/0f3efc64-cf8c-4c1d-8bfa-2350f0a25bf0\/?page_number=0\"> <\/em>Forbes<em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/app.deform.cc\/form\/0f3efc64-cf8c-4c1d-8bfa-2350f0a25bf0\/?page_number=0\"> CryptoAsset &amp; Blockchain Advisor newsletter.<\/em><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/app.deform.cc\/form\/0f3efc64-cf8c-4c1d-8bfa-2350f0a25bf0\/?page_number=0\"><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/app.deform.cc\/form\/0f3efc64-cf8c-4c1d-8bfa-2350f0a25bf0\/?page_number=0\"> Apply now!<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Trump, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/10\/15\/big-news-donald-trump-declares-crypto-is-the-future-after-blowing-up-the-bitcoin-price\/\" target=\"_self\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/10\/15\/big-news-donald-trump-declares-crypto-is-the-future-after-blowing-up-the-bitcoin-price\/\" data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/10\/15\/big-news-donald-trump-declares-crypto-is-the-future-after-blowing-up-the-bitcoin-price\/\" aria-label=\"who recently declared himself the &quot;crypto president,&quot;\" rel=\"noopener\">who recently declared himself the &#8220;crypto president,&#8221;<\/a> saw his odds of victory on the crypto-based Polymarket prediction platform climb through October, peaking at 67%.<\/p>\n<p>Now, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/10\/31\/blackrock-ceo-issues-stark-fed-warning-amid-33-trillion-bitcoin-price-prediction\/\" target=\"_self\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/10\/31\/blackrock-ceo-issues-stark-fed-warning-amid-33-trillion-bitcoin-price-prediction\/\" data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/10\/31\/blackrock-ceo-issues-stark-fed-warning-amid-33-trillion-bitcoin-price-prediction\/\" aria-label=\"as investors begin to panic about the Federal Reserve\" rel=\"noopener\">as investors begin to panic about the Federal Reserve<\/a>, Trump&#8217;s odds of victory have gone into free fall, moving toward a 50\/50 split between Trump and his Democratic Party rival Harris.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/newsletter\/cryptocodex\/#49ee29f83534\" target=\"_self\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/newsletter\/cryptocodex\/#49ee29f83534\" data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/newsletter\/cryptocodex\/#49ee29f83534\" aria-label=\"Sign up now for the free CryptoCodex\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/newsletter\/cryptocodex\/#49ee29f83534\">Sign up now for the free <em data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/newsletter\/cryptocodex\/#49ee29f83534\">CryptoCodex<\/em><\/strong><\/a>\u2014<strong>A daily five-minute newsletter for traders, investors and the crypto-curious that will get you up to date and keep you ahead of the bitcoin and crypto market bull run<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><fbs-ad position=\"inread\" progressive=\"\" ad-id=\"article-0-inread\" aria-hidden=\"true\" role=\"presentation\"\/><a class=\"embed-base color-body color-body-border link-embed embed-2 link-embed--long-title\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/11\/02\/cataclysmic-collapse-tesla-billionaire-elon-musks-radical-357-trillion-plan-to-avert-financial-emergency-spurs-huge-bitcoin-price-bets\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u2018Cataclysmic Collapse\u2019\u2014Tesla Billionaire Elon Musk\u2019s Radical $35.7 Trillion Plan To Avert \u2018Financial Emergency\u2019 Spurs Huge Bitcoin Price Bets\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"forbesEmbedly:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/11\/02\/cataclysmic-collapse-tesla-billionaire-elon-musks-radical-357-trillion-plan-to-avert-financial-emergency-spurs-huge-bitcoin-price-bets\/\"><span class=\"link-embed__info\"><span class=\"link-embed__provider\">Forbes<\/span><span class=\"link-embed__title\">\u2018Cataclysmic Collapse\u2019\u2014Tesla Billionaire Elon Musk\u2019s Radical $35.7 Trillion Plan To Avert \u2018Financial Emergency\u2019 Spurs Huge Bitcoin Price Bets<\/span><small class=\"link-embed__byline\">By <span class=\"link-embed__author\">Billy Bambrough<\/span><\/small><\/span><span class=\"link-embed__thumbnail-wrapper\"><span class=\"link-embed__thumbnail allow-inline-style\" style=\"background-image: url(https:\/\/specials-images.forbesimg.com\/imageserve\/66a0d68408e8de9296d6e544\/960x0.jpg?cropX1=43&amp;cropX2=1935&amp;cropY1=385&amp;cropY2=1650);\"\/><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<figure class=\"embed-base image-embed embed-0\" role=\"presentation\"><figcaption><fbs-accordion class=\"expandable\" current=\"-1\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\">Donald Trump, Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. president, has seen his Polymarket <span class=\"plus\" data-ga-track=\"caption expand\">&#8230; [+]<\/span><span class=\"expanded-caption\"> lead over Democratic Party rival Kamala Harris evaporate.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/fbs-accordion><small>Getty Images<\/small><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Trump&#8217;s odds of victory on Polymarket, which uses the USDC dollar-pegged stablecoin to facilitate trading but isn&#8217;t available to U.S.-based users, have crashed to around 54% over the weekend with just two days to go before Tuesday&#8217;s election.<\/p>\n<p>Harris has seen her odds increase from 33% to 45% as punters increasingly bet she will win the White House after an Iowa poll carried out by the highly regarded pollster Ann Selzer from the <em>Des Moines Register<\/em> showed Harris leading Trump by three points among likely voters, though the poll found no clear leader in the race despite Trump winning the state in 2016 and 2020.<\/p>\n<p>On rival prediction platform Kalshi, which last week launched crypto deposits via USDC and is open to U.S. users, the gap between Trump and Harris has narrowed to just four percentage points.<\/p>\n<p>Kalshi users put Trump&#8217;s odds of victory at 52%, while Harris has a 48% of winning the White House, down from a split of 65% to 35% in Trump&#8217;s favor at the beginning of this week.<\/p>\n<p>Prediction platform odds, unlike polls, are not a survey of voters but rather an open market that allow users to bet on the expected outcome of all manner of events, from elections to pop culture and sports.<\/p>\n<p>Polymarket has seen just over $3 billion wagered on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election since January, with Trump consistently the favorite among its users who are generally believed to skew younger, male and have an interest in crypto.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/newsletter\/cryptocodex\/#2451f12d3534\" target=\"_self\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/newsletter\/cryptocodex\/#2451f12d3534\" data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/newsletter\/cryptocodex\/#2451f12d3534\" aria-label=\"Sign up now for CryptoCodex\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/newsletter\/cryptocodex\/#2451f12d3534\">Sign up now for <em data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/newsletter\/cryptocodex\/#2451f12d3534\">CryptoCodex<\/em><\/strong><\/a><strong>\u2014A free, daily newsletter for the crypto-curious<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a class=\"embed-base color-body color-body-border link-embed embed-4 link-embed--long-title\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/10\/29\/tesla-billionaire-elon-musk-declares-financial-emergency-as-357-trillion-debt-bomb-primes-a-bitcoin-price-boom-to-rival-gold\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u2018Your Money Is Being Wasted\u2019\u2014Tesla Billionaire Elon Musk Declares \u2018Financial Emergency\u2019 As $35.7 Trillion \u2018Debt Bomb\u2019 Primes A Bitcoin Price Boom To Rival Gold\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"forbesEmbedly:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/10\/29\/tesla-billionaire-elon-musk-declares-financial-emergency-as-357-trillion-debt-bomb-primes-a-bitcoin-price-boom-to-rival-gold\/\"><span class=\"link-embed__info\"><span class=\"link-embed__provider\">Forbes<\/span><span class=\"link-embed__title\">\u2018Your Money Is Being Wasted\u2019\u2014Tesla Billionaire Elon Musk Declares \u2018Financial Emergency\u2019 As $35.7 Trillion \u2018Debt Bomb\u2019 Primes A Bitcoin Price Boom To Rival Gold<\/span><small class=\"link-embed__byline\">By <span class=\"link-embed__author\">Billy Bambrough<\/span><\/small><\/span><span class=\"link-embed__thumbnail-wrapper\"><span class=\"link-embed__thumbnail allow-inline-style\" style=\"background-image: url(https:\/\/specials-images.forbesimg.com\/imageserve\/62ab8a66678045577b8819cd\/960x0.jpg?cropX1=1813&amp;cropX2=4627&amp;cropY1=984&amp;cropY2=2781);\"\/><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<figure class=\"embed-base image-embed embed-5\" role=\"presentation\"><figcaption><fbs-accordion class=\"expandable\" current=\"-1\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\">The Polymarket odds of a Donald Trump victory over Kamala Harris have sudden crashed, falling <span class=\"plus\" data-ga-track=\"caption expand\">&#8230; [+]<\/span><span class=\"expanded-caption\"> sharply after soaring through October.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/fbs-accordion><small>Polymarket<\/small><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>One France-based Polymarket user has bet $30 million on Trump winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/finance\/trump-odds-polymarket-election-betting-whale-3d94bed3\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/finance\/trump-odds-polymarket-election-betting-whale-3d94bed3\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/finance\/trump-odds-polymarket-election-betting-whale-3d94bed3\" aria-label=\"telling\">telling<\/a> the <em>Wall Street Journal<\/em> he isn&#8217;t trying to influence the vote and that his &#8220;intent is just making money.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The crypto-based prediction platform Polymarket has surged in popularity in recent months, with those in the crypto community seizing on a successful use case for the technology.<\/p>\n<p>Interest in Polymarket soared over the summer after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/07\/06\/odds-of-biden-dropping-out-suddenly-soar-on-230-million-trump-bet\/\" target=\"_self\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/07\/06\/odds-of-biden-dropping-out-suddenly-soar-on-230-million-trump-bet\/\" data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/07\/06\/odds-of-biden-dropping-out-suddenly-soar-on-230-million-trump-bet\/\" aria-label=\"users bet heavily on president Joe Biden dropping out of the race in early July\" rel=\"noopener\">users bet heavily on president Joe Biden dropping out of the race in early July<\/a>, weeks ahead of Biden withdrawing from the election.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><div data-type=\"_mgwidget\" data-widget-id=\"1660802\">\r\n<\/div>\r\n<script>(function(w,q){w[q]=w[q]||[];w[q].push([\"_mgc.load\"])})(window,\"_mgq\");\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/digital-assets\/2024\/11\/03\/donald-trumps-odds-of-election-victory-have-suddenly-gone-into-free-fall\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are entering the final days of their race for the White House, with Tesla billionaire Elon Musk warning of a &#8220;financial emergency.&#8221; Unlock over $3,000 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=121875\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8629],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-121875","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-u-s","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121875","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=121875"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121875\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=121875"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=121875"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=121875"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}