{"id":122669,"date":"2024-11-06T10:06:32","date_gmt":"2024-11-06T03:06:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=122669"},"modified":"2024-11-06T10:06:32","modified_gmt":"2024-11-06T03:06:32","slug":"who-will-win-the-election-trump-surges-on-prediction-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=122669","title":{"rendered":"Who will win the election? Trump surges on prediction markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>Betting markets took a sharp turn toward Donald Trump on Tuesday night as the first states were called in the presidential election. <\/p>\n<div>\n<p>So far, reliably Republican and Democratic states have been called. Indiana, Kentucky, West Virginia, Alabama, Mississippi, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Florida, Tennessee, Arkansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Louisiana, Wyoming, Ohio, and Texas are in Donald Trump\u2019s column. Vermont, Maryland, Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Illinois, Delaware, and New York are in Kamala Harris\u2019s column. <\/p>\n<p>No <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/11\/05\/swing-states-battleground-us-election-result-presidential\/\" target=\"_self\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ  \" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/11\/05\/swing-states-battleground-us-election-result-presidential\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/11\/05\/swing-states-battleground-us-election-result-presidential\/\" rel=\"noopener\">swing states<\/a> have been called yet, but there are signs Trump has improved over his 2020 performance in other states like Florida and Virginia.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ  \" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/kalshi.com\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">According to Kalshi<\/a>, Trump\u2019s odds of winning\u00a0jumped to 78% from 57% at the start of the day. On\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.predictit.org\/markets\/detail\/7456\/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ  \" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.predictit.org\/markets\/detail\/7456\/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">PredictIt<\/a>, a contract for Trump winning the election leapt to 73 cents from 54 cents on Monday. On the new\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/markets\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ  \" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/markets\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">IBKR Forecast Trader<\/a>\u00a0from Interactive Brokers, Trump\u2019s odds soared to 82% from 59% at the start of the day.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1730854878462\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ  \" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1730854878462\" rel=\"noopener\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1730854878462\">Polymarket<\/a>, a crypto-based prediction market, showed Trump\u2019s chances had shot up to 80.6% Tuesday evening from 62% early in the morning.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/11\/05\/stock-market-today-presidential-election-trump-trade-harris-dow-bitcoin-dollar\/\" target=\"_self\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ  \" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/11\/05\/stock-market-today-presidential-election-trump-trade-harris-dow-bitcoin-dollar\/\" rel=\"noopener\">financial markets have also started to price in a Trump victory<\/a>, as the dollar, Treasury yields, Bitcoin, and shares of Trump Media and Technology took off in after-hours trading.<\/p>\n<p>Last week and over the weekend, prediction markets had shown <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/11\/03\/who-will-win-the-election-prediction-markets-donald-trump-collapse-kamala-harris\/\" target=\"_self\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ  \" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/11\/03\/who-will-win-the-election-prediction-markets-donald-trump-collapse-kamala-harris\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/11\/03\/who-will-win-the-election-prediction-markets-donald-trump-collapse-kamala-harris\/\" rel=\"noopener\">strong momentum for Harris<\/a>, who even took the lead briefly on a few exchanges.<\/p>\n<p>Bolstering Harris\u2019s prospects was Saturday\u2019s closely watched\u00a0<em>Des Moines Register<\/em>\/Mediacom\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.desmoinesregister.com\/news\/iowa-poll\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ  \" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.desmoinesregister.com\/news\/iowa-poll\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Iowa Poll<\/a>\u00a0conducted by Selzer &amp; Co. that showed\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/11\/03\/presidential-poll-iowa-selzer-donald-trump-warning-kamala-harris-surge-midwest-blue-wall\/\" target=\"_self\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ  \" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/11\/03\/presidential-poll-iowa-selzer-donald-trump-warning-kamala-harris-surge-midwest-blue-wall\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Harris leading Trump 47% to 44%<\/a>\u00a0among likely voters.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-cy=\"subscriptionPlea\">Follow the outcomes, understand the impacts. Read all of our U.S. election coverage <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/tag\/u-s-presidential-election\/\" target=\"_self\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ  \" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/tag\/u-s-presidential-election\/\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a>.<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><div data-type=\"_mgwidget\" data-widget-id=\"1660802\">\r\n<\/div>\r\n<script>(function(w,q){w[q]=w[q]||[];w[q].push([\"_mgc.load\"])})(window,\"_mgq\");\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/11\/05\/who-will-win-the-election-prediction-markets-donald-trump-surge-kamala-harris\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Betting markets took a sharp turn toward Donald Trump on Tuesday night as the first states were called in the presidential election. So far, reliably Republican and Democratic states have &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=122669\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-122669","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-business","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122669","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=122669"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122669\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=122669"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=122669"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=122669"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}