{"id":125693,"date":"2024-11-14T09:51:55","date_gmt":"2024-11-14T02:51:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=125693"},"modified":"2024-11-14T09:51:55","modified_gmt":"2024-11-14T02:51:55","slug":"decreasing-confidence-that-a-significant-la-nina-event-will-ever-unfold-over-the-pacific","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=125693","title":{"rendered":"Decreasing confidence that a significant La Nina event will ever unfold over the Pacific"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"featured featured-video video-ct\">\n<div class=\"video-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"video-container\">\n<div data-widget-type=\"embed\" data-video-id=\"play-771410e1e001598\" class=\"m video-player\"><a href=\"\" class=\"video-link\"><span class=\"overlay\"\/> <picture><source media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" width=\"640\" height=\"358\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static-media.fox.com\/ms\/stg1\/weather\/320\/179\/play-771410e1e001598--35225541232.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static-media.fox.com\/ms\/stg1\/weather\/640\/358\/play-771410e1e001598--35225541232.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1023px)\" width=\"1536\" height=\"864\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static-media.fox.com\/ms\/stg1\/weather\/768\/432\/play-771410e1e001598--35225541232.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static-media.fox.com\/ms\/stg1\/weather\/1536\/864\/play-771410e1e001598--35225541232.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1024px)\" width=\"1984\" height=\"1116\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static-media.fox.com\/ms\/stg1\/weather\/992\/558\/play-771410e1e001598--35225541232.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static-media.fox.com\/ms\/stg1\/weather\/1984\/1116\/play-771410e1e001598--35225541232.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static-media.fox.com\/ms\/stg1\/weather\/992\/558\/play-771410e1e001598--35225541232.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1\" alt=\"NOAA\u2019s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) released its official winter outlook for 2024-25 on Thursday, and it looks as though a weak La Nina will emerge and have an impact on weather patterns this winter. FOX Weather Meteorologist Bob Van Dillen breaks down the latest from the report.\" width=\"992\" height=\"558\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><\/a> <!----><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"info\">\n<div class=\"caption\">\n<p class=\"sub-text\">NOAA\u2019s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) released its official winter outlook for 2024-25 on Thursday, and it looks as though a weak La Nina will emerge and have an impact on weather patterns this winter. FOX Weather Meteorologist Bob Van Dillen breaks down the latest from the report.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">Climate experts are eagerly awaiting the declaration of a La Ni\u00f1a, but the global weather pattern may be weak or may not emerge at all, potentially impacting global weather patterns.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">The world has been stuck in a neutral status of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/learn\/la-nada-neutral-enso-pacific-explainer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">El Ni\u00f1o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)<\/a> since early summer, as sea surface anomalies have waxed and waned in the region between -0.5\u00b0C and 0.5\u00b0C over the Pacific.<\/p>\n<p>In recent months, cooler-than-average waters have been detected by satellites over the central and eastern tropical Pacific but have not reached the threshold to declare a La Ni\u00f1a event to be underway.<\/p>\n<div class=\"featured featured-image component-center\">\n<div class=\"m\"><picture><source media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/288\/162\/model-predictions-of-ens-7.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/576\/324\/model-predictions-of-ens-7.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"576\" height=\"324\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1023px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/720\/405\/model-predictions-of-ens-7.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/1440\/810\/model-predictions-of-ens-7.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1440\" height=\"810\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1024px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/668\/376\/model-predictions-of-ens-7.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/1336\/752\/model-predictions-of-ens-7.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1336\" height=\"752\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"668\" height=\"376\" src=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/668\/376\/model-predictions-of-ens-7.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1\" alt=\"ENSO Forecast Models\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><\/div>\n<div class=\"info\">\n<div class=\"caption\">\n<p class=\"title\">ENSO Forecast Models<\/p>\n<p class=\"sub-text\"><strong> (\u00a0The Columbia Climate School, Columbia University \/ FOX Weather)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">These conditions have created variable weather patterns across the world\u2014a situation that may persist through much of 2025, according to long-term climate models.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">Earlier in 2024, most models indicated that the world would dip into a La Ni\u00f1a, and a significant one at that. However, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.climate.gov\/news-features\/blogs\/enso\/october-2024-enso-update-spooky-season\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">fewer and fewer model runs are now predicting this scenario<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">A significant minority of model runs now keep the world in a neutral status for the foreseeable future, impacting weather extremes during the upcoming winter, spring and beyond.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">Periods of weaker-than-usual trade winds over the tropics have allowed the Pacific to warm slightly, delaying the evolution of a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/category\/la-nina\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">La Ni\u00f1a<\/a> event.<\/p>\n<div class=\"featured featured-image component-center\">\n<div class=\"m\"><picture><source media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/288\/162\/honest.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/576\/324\/honest.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"576\" height=\"324\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1023px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/720\/405\/honest.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/1440\/810\/honest.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1440\" height=\"810\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1024px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/668\/376\/honest.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/1336\/752\/honest.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1336\" height=\"752\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"668\" height=\"376\" src=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/668\/376\/honest.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1\" alt=\"Model comparison showing evolution of ENSO forecast from June to October.\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><\/div>\n<div class=\"info\">\n<div class=\"caption\">\n<p class=\"title\">Model comparison showing evolution of ENSO forecast from June to October.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sub-text\"><strong> (The Columbia Climate School, Columbia University)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/learn\/el-nino-la-nina-climate-explainer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>WHAT ARE EL NI\u00d1O AND LA NI\u00d1A CLIMATE PATTERNS?<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2 data-v-4e81e892=\"\">What are the impacts of a neutral winter in the U.S.?<\/h2>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">The combination of pockets of warming in the Pacific and the output from computer models gives forecasters confidence that a significant La Ni\u00f1a is not in the cards for many months to come.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">A neutral winter means neither El Ni\u00f1o nor La Ni\u00f1a conditions are in control, and generally results in more zonal jet stream patterns. This leads to less extreme cold outbreaks across the northern U.S. and average precipitation levels across the southern tier of the country.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">A La Ni\u00f1a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/category\/winter\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">winter<\/a> typically results in much colder and snowier conditions across the nation, but again, this does not appear to be in the cards for the 2024\u201325 season, which begins on Dec. 1.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">The 2023\u201324 El Ni\u00f1o brought one of the warmest and least snowy winter seasons on record across the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/category\/us\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">U.S.<\/a>, with temperatures more than 5\u00b0F above normal values.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">While the upcoming winter is expected to be somewhat cooler, it is not anticipated to set any widespread cold-weather records.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">The combination of the ENSO status and general climate warming is expected to keep temperatures above average across a large part of the country.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">The last time the country experienced a cooler-than-average winter was in 2013\u201314, when the average temperature was nearly one degree below typical values.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">According to a NOAA database, the coldest winter on record was 1978\u201379, with the winters of 1935\u201336, 1898\u20131899, 1909\u201310, and 1904\u201305 rounding out the top five coldest winters.<\/p>\n<div class=\"featured featured-image component-center\">\n<div class=\"m\"><picture><source media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/288\/162\/2021WinterPackage_Map_en_title_lg-1.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/576\/324\/2021WinterPackage_Map_en_title_lg-1.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"576\" height=\"324\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1023px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/720\/405\/2021WinterPackage_Map_en_title_lg-1.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1440\/810\/2021WinterPackage_Map_en_title_lg-1.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1440\" height=\"810\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1024px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/668\/376\/2021WinterPackage_Map_en_title_lg-1.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1336\/752\/2021WinterPackage_Map_en_title_lg-1.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1336\" height=\"752\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"668\" height=\"376\" src=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/668\/376\/2021WinterPackage_Map_en_title_lg-1.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1\" alt=\"2021 Winter Warming Map\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><\/div>\n<div class=\"info\">\n<div class=\"caption\">\n<p class=\"title\">This map analyzes the magnitude of warming during the winter months (December-February) using 52 years of temperature data (1970-2021).<\/p>\n<p class=\"sub-text\"><strong> (Map: Climate Central; Data: NOAA\/NCEI \/ NOAA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/learn\/la-nada-neutral-enso-pacific-explainer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>LITTLE-KNOWN WEATHER PATTERN WHEN EL NI\u00d1O AND LA NI\u00d1A ARE NO LONGER IN CONTROL<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2 data-v-4e81e892=\"\">Could an El Ni\u00f1o make a return?<\/h2>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">Some forecast models indicate that an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/category\/el-nino\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">El Ni\u00f1o<\/a> could return in 2025, but again, climate patterns don\u2019t seem to be in a rush to venture into one extreme or another.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">Since reliable observations of the ENSO began in the 1950s, there have been only a few occasions when a double El Ni\u00f1o has formed.\u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"featured featured-image component-center\">\n<div class=\"m\"><picture><source media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/288\/162\/trump.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/576\/324\/trump.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"576\" height=\"324\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1023px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/720\/405\/trump.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/1440\/810\/trump.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1440\" height=\"810\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1024px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/668\/376\/trump.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/1336\/752\/trump.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1336\" height=\"752\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"668\" height=\"376\" src=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/668\/376\/trump.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1\" alt=\"Ocean water temperature anomalies\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><\/div>\n<div class=\"info\">\n<div class=\"caption\">\n<p class=\"title\">Ocean water temperature anomalies\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"sub-text\"><strong> (NOAA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">The period from 1991 through 1995 was marked by a double El Ni\u00f1o, with an extended streak of neutral conditions from 1992 to 1994.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">A major unknown is the impact of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/category\/climate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">climate<\/a> change on the behavior of ENSO.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">Rising ocean temperatures are likely to increase the frequency of El Ni\u00f1o events, but more research is needed to understand how warmer seas will influence the changes in the world&#8217;s ENSO status.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><div data-type=\"_mgwidget\" data-widget-id=\"1660802\">\r\n<\/div>\r\n<script>(function(w,q){w[q]=w[q]||[];w[q].push([\"_mgc.load\"])})(window,\"_mgq\");\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/weather-news\/la-nina-el-nino-neutral-status\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NOAA\u2019s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) released its official winter outlook for 2024-25 on Thursday, and it looks as though a weak La Nina will emerge and have an impact on &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=125693\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9472],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-125693","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weather","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125693","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=125693"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125693\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=125693"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=125693"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=125693"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}