{"id":127528,"date":"2024-11-19T05:25:47","date_gmt":"2024-11-18T22:25:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=127528"},"modified":"2024-11-19T05:25:47","modified_gmt":"2024-11-18T22:25:47","slug":"why-nvidia-earnings-may-trigger-massive-sp-500-volatility-invesco-qqq-trust-series-1-nasdaqqqq-nvidia-nasdaqnvda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=127528","title":{"rendered":"Why Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&#038;P 500 Volatility &#8211; Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ), NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"article-body\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" itemscope=\"\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Article\">\n<div>\n<p>Investors and speculators are gearing up for <strong>Nvidia Corp.<\/strong>\u2018s <span class=\"ticker\" data-ticker=\"NVDA\" data-exchange=\"NASDAQ\" style=\"display: inline-block;\">NVDA<\/span> earnings report on Wednesday, an event that\u2019s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/markets\">across the U.S. stock market. <\/a><\/p>\n<p>If the options market is right, Nvidia&#8217;s results could spark moves in the S&amp;P 500 index \u2013 as tracked by the<strong> SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF<\/strong> <strong>Trust<\/strong> <span class=\"ticker\" data-ticker=\"SPY\" data-exchange=\"NYSE\" style=\"display: inline-block;\">SPY<\/span> \u2013 larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.<\/p>\n<p>Nvidia&#8217;s dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s total returns and Bank of America&#8217;s derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn&#8217;t mince words: \u201cIt remains the most dominant stock in the market\u2026 expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&amp;P 500\u2019s EPS growth in 3Q.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S&amp;P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs Data<\/h3>\n<p>The options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&amp;P 500\u2014higher than what traders expect from next month&#8217;s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve\u2019s December meeting.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOptions are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month\u2019s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,\u201d the analyst noted.<\/p>\n<p>For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,\u201d Assis wrote.<\/p>\n<p>The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq Impact<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia\u2019s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the <strong>Invesco QQQ Trust <\/strong><span class=\"ticker\" data-ticker=\"QQQ\" data-exchange=\"NASDAQ\" style=\"display: inline-block;\">QQQ<\/span>. Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Historical Nvidia Earnings Data<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Data from <a href=\"https:\/\/bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com\/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration\/?utm_source=BZprocontent111824&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1\">Benzinga Pro<\/a> shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once. <\/p>\n<p>On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.<\/p>\n<p>The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%. <\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a snapshot of the company&#8217;s recent earnings performance:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th><strong>Fiscal Quarter<\/strong><\/th>\n<th><strong>Date Announced<\/strong><\/th>\n<th><strong>Surprise % EPS<\/strong><\/th>\n<th><strong>Surprise % Revenue<\/strong><\/th>\n<th><strong>1-Day % NVDA Move<\/strong><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Q2-2025<\/td>\n<td>8\/28\/24<\/td>\n<td>6.25%<\/td>\n<td>4.73%<\/td>\n<td>-6.38%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q1-2025<\/td>\n<td>5\/22\/24<\/td>\n<td>2.86%<\/td>\n<td>5.66%<\/td>\n<td>9.32%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q4-2024<\/td>\n<td>2\/21\/24<\/td>\n<td>11.45%<\/td>\n<td>7.19%<\/td>\n<td>16.40%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q3-2024<\/td>\n<td>11\/21\/23<\/td>\n<td>19.64%<\/td>\n<td>12.39%<\/td>\n<td>-2.46%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q2-2024<\/td>\n<td>8\/23\/23<\/td>\n<td>29.19%<\/td>\n<td>20.38%<\/td>\n<td>0.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q1-2024<\/td>\n<td>5\/24\/23<\/td>\n<td>18.48%<\/td>\n<td>10.31%<\/td>\n<td>24.37%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q4-2023<\/td>\n<td>2\/22\/23<\/td>\n<td>8.64%<\/td>\n<td>0.68%<\/td>\n<td>14.02%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q3-2023<\/td>\n<td>11\/16\/22<\/td>\n<td>-15.94%<\/td>\n<td>2.79%<\/td>\n<td>-1.46%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q2-2023<\/td>\n<td>8\/24\/22<\/td>\n<td>-59.20%<\/td>\n<td>-17.23%<\/td>\n<td>4.01%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q1-2023<\/td>\n<td>5\/25\/22<\/td>\n<td>5.43%<\/td>\n<td>2.07%<\/td>\n<td>5.16%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q4-2022<\/td>\n<td>2\/16\/22<\/td>\n<td>8.20%<\/td>\n<td>3.01%<\/td>\n<td>-7.56%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q3-2022<\/td>\n<td>11\/17\/21<\/td>\n<td>6.36%<\/td>\n<td>4.00%<\/td>\n<td>8.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Data: Benzinga Pro<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>Read Next:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Photo: Shutterstock<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a class=\"text-sm my-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/apis?utm_source=benzinga.com&amp;utm_campaign=article-bottom\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"copyright\">\u00a9 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><div data-type=\"_mgwidget\" data-widget-id=\"1660802\">\r\n<\/div>\r\n<script>(function(w,q){w[q]=w[q]||[];w[q].push([\"_mgc.load\"])})(window,\"_mgq\");\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/analyst-ratings\/analyst-color\/24\/11\/42048963\/why-nvidia-earnings-may-trigger-massive-sp-500-volatility\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Investors and speculators are gearing up for Nvidia Corp.\u2018s NVDA earnings report on Wednesday, an event that\u2019s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, across the U.S. stock market. &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=127528\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-127528","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-business","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/127528","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=127528"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/127528\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=127528"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=127528"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=127528"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}