{"id":129834,"date":"2024-11-25T08:05:05","date_gmt":"2024-11-25T01:05:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=129834"},"modified":"2024-11-25T08:05:05","modified_gmt":"2024-11-25T01:05:05","slug":"the-size-of-donald-trumps-2024-election-victory-explained-in-5-charts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=129834","title":{"rendered":"The size of Donald Trump\u2019s 2024 election victory, explained in 5 charts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><em>This article originally appeared on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politifact.com\/article\/2024\/nov\/22\/how-big-was-donald-trumps-victory-8-charts-provide\/\">PolitiFact<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>How big was President-elect Donald Trump\u2019s victory? It was clear, but not a landslide by historical standards.<\/p>\n<p>Trump won both the Electoral College and the popular vote; in fact, Trump this year became only the second Republican to win the popular vote since 1988.<\/p>\n<p>The\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2024\/11\/05\/us\/elections\/results-president.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">vast majority of counties<\/a>\u00a0saw their margins shift in Trump\u2019s direction, both in places where Republicans historically do well and places where\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.usnews.com\/news\/national-news\/articles\/2024-11-08\/kamala-harris-disappointing-election-night-in-4-charts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Democrats generally have an edge<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, Trump\u2019s margins \u2014 both in raw votes and in percentages \u2014 were small by historical standards, even for the past quarter century, when close elections have been the rule, including the 2000 Florida recount election and Trump\u2019s previous two races in 2016 and 2020.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/politics\/interactive-how-key-groups-of-americans-voted-in-2024-according-to-ap-votecast\"><strong>INTERACTIVE:<\/strong> How key groups of Americans voted in 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019s victory came without a big boost for down-ballot Republicans. The current narrow margin in the House is poised to remain, and Democrats won four Senate races in key battleground states even as Vice President Kamala Harris lost those states to Trump.<\/p>\n<p>During his election night victory party, Trump declared that \u201cAmerica has given us an unprecedented and powerful mandate.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Wayne Steger, a DePaul University political scientist, said the election delivered mixed signals.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cInflation, immigration, some evidence of backlash against Democrats on identity politics, crime, education, and a public mood moving in a conservative direction all suggested a Republican win,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Still, \u201cI\u2019m inclined to view it as a close election in which there was enough anti-Democratic sentiment to carry the day.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s how Trump\u2019s victory sizes up to other recent elections.<\/p>\n<h2>Reasons for Trump to call it a big victory<\/h2>\n<p>Trump won all of this year\u2019s seven battleground states \u2014 Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Harris fared worse in these states than Joe Biden did four years earlier.<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019s margins of victory in those seven states were wider \u2014 easily \u2014 than the margins of the seven closest states in the 2020 Trump-Biden election, and every close presidential contest this century.<\/p>\n<p>Including votes counted through Nov. 19, Trump\u2019s collective margin in this year\u2019s seven battleground states was about 760,000. By comparison, the 2000 election between George W. Bush and Al Gore \u2014 which the Supreme Court decided after a weekslong Florida recount \u2014 produced collective margins of about 46,000 in the seven closest states, or about one-sixteenth as much as in 2024.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none;\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/e.infogram.com\/e69f3a83-6d88-461c-af5c-e9f5d4080f2b?src=embed\" width=\"550\" height=\"1000\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><br \/>Trump also performed well by historical standards for someone running against the White House-occupying party. Going back to 1932, only six other candidates from the out-of-power party have taken as large a share of the vote as Trump\u2019s nearly 50 percent. The others notching a higher percentage are Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1932, Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1952, Jimmy Carter in 1976, Ronald Reagan in 1980, Barack Obama in 2008 and Biden in 2020.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none;\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/e.infogram.com\/9f55832e-9d9b-4eb4-b9c6-b08d594d089d?src=embed\" width=\"550\" height=\"855\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><br \/>Trump\u2019s margin of victory in the Electoral College was nowhere near the landslide wins of Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, Richard M. Nixon in 1972 or Reagan in 1984. But it was bigger than four of the seven elections this century, including Biden\u2019s four years earlier.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none;\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/e.infogram.com\/ace617a1-faa2-40fc-b02f-729e4f880988?src=embed\" width=\"550\" height=\"857\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2>Where Trump\u2019s victory looks historically small<\/h2>\n<p>Other metrics, however, show Trump\u2019s victory was narrow.<\/p>\n<p>Measured both by vote percentages and by raw votes, Trump\u2019s margin of victory is modest, even compared with this century\u2019s other close elections.<\/p>\n<p>For votes counted through Nov. 20, Trump\u2019s margin over Harris was 1.62 percent. That\u2019s smaller than any winner since Bush in 2000, when the margin was 0.51 percent. Going back further, only John F. Kennedy in 1960 and Nixon in 1968 won the popular vote by smaller margins, 0.17 percent and 0.7 percent, respectively.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none;\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/e.infogram.com\/af9f2911-ac61-4ead-b900-7bb02fb116cd?src=embed\" width=\"550\" height=\"893\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><br \/>Using raw votes, Trump\u2019s margin was also smaller than in any election going back to 2000. At about 2.5 million, it was the fifth-smallest popular vote margin since 1960.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none;\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/e.infogram.com\/d383cfe0-a154-451c-8bc5-ed16b0e9842d?src=embed\" width=\"550\" height=\"931\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><br \/>In both percentage and raw votes, Trump\u2019s margin is on pace to be less than half of what Biden achieved four years earlier.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, there is ample evidence that Trump\u2019s strong performance at the top of the ticket didn\u2019t boost down-ballot candidates much.<\/p>\n<p>Of the seven battleground states, five also held Senate races and one had a gubernatorial contest. The Republican candidate won Pennsylvania\u2019s Senate race, but the Democrat won the Senate races in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin, and the gubernatorial contest in North Carolina. (In North Carolina, Democrats also won the races for lieutenant governor, attorney general, secretary of state, superintendent of public instruction and were narrowly leading in a state Supreme Court race.)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/show\/will-the-senate-serve-as-a-check-on-trumps-power-or-pave-the-way-for-his-agenda\"><strong>WATCH:<\/strong> Will the Senate serve as a check on Trump\u2019s power or pave the way for his agenda?<\/a><\/p>\n<p>A share of voters backed Trump but didn\u2019t vote for anyone in their state\u2019s U.S. Senate contest.<\/p>\n<p>As the final handful of races are called, the U.S. House is\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.politifact.com\/article\/2024\/nov\/19\/what-does-small-majority-mean-house-republic\/\">poised to end up<\/a>\u00a0at or near its margin from the previous two years, producing a Republican margin that is narrow by historical standards. In the state legislatures, Republicans\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2024\/11\/15\/nx-s1-5191885\/legislature-election-results-2024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">gained only modestly<\/a>\u00a0in chamber control, while Democrats made inroads in other legislatures.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTrump\u2019s victory was solid and convincing,\u201d said Barry Burden, a University of Wisconsin political scientist. Still, \u201cthe 2024 elections were not a general endorsement of the Republican Party. Many Republicans down ballot did not perform as well as Trump.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>So far this century, elections have been not only close, but have flipped back and forth between the parties. Since 2000, control of the presidency, the Senate or the House has flipped 16 times in 13 election cycles.<\/p>\n<p>If this pattern holds, the Democrats could be well positioned for the 2026 midterms and perhaps the 2028 presidential race.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cVoters have been unhappy with the state of the country,\u201d said Jack Pitney, a Claremont McKenna College political scientist. \u201cUnless Trump creates an abrupt change in the national mood, Democrats have a good chance at a successful 2026 midterm.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><div data-type=\"_mgwidget\" data-widget-id=\"1660802\">\r\n<\/div>\r\n<script>(function(w,q){w[q]=w[q]||[];w[q].push([\"_mgc.load\"])})(window,\"_mgq\");\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/politics\/the-size-of-donald-trumps-2024-election-victory-explained-in-5-charts\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This article originally appeared on PolitiFact. How big was President-elect Donald Trump\u2019s victory? It was clear, but not a landslide by historical standards. Trump won both the Electoral College and &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=129834\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8629],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-129834","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-u-s","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129834","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=129834"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129834\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=129834"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=129834"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=129834"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}