{"id":134406,"date":"2024-12-07T16:48:47","date_gmt":"2024-12-07T09:48:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=134406"},"modified":"2024-12-07T16:48:47","modified_gmt":"2024-12-07T09:48:47","slug":"unexpected-source-to-blame-for-rapid-surge-in-global-warming","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=134406","title":{"rendered":"Unexpected source to blame for rapid surge in global warming"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Rising sea levels, melting glaciers, and ocean heatwaves \u2014 2023 brought alarming new climate warming records in just about every measurable category.<\/p>\n<p>One of the most concerning was the rise in global mean temperature, reaching almost <a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/limiting-global-warming-to-1-5-degrees-celsius-would-save-billions-of-lives\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">1.5 degrees<\/a> Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels.<\/p>\n<p>Scientists have been working to determine what triggered this sudden surge in global warming. <\/p>\n<p>They considered anthropogenic influences like greenhouse gases, the El Ni\u00f1o effect, and natural events like volcanic eruptions.<\/p>\n<p>Yet, these factors leave an unexplained warming gap of 0.2 degrees Celsius.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-new-theory-changes-in-cloud-cover\">New theory: Changes in cloud cover<\/h2>\n<p>A research team from the Alfred Wegener Institute (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.awi.de\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AWI<\/a>) proposes that changes in Earth\u2019s cloud cover may explain this warming gap. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn addition to the influence of El Ni\u00f1o and the expected <a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/unprecedented-heat-is-popping-up-in-hotspots-across-the-globe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">long-term warming<\/a> from anthropogenic greenhouse gases, several other factors have already been discussed that could have contributed to the surprisingly high global mean temperatures since 2023,\u201d said Dr. Helge Goessling, lead author from AWI. <\/p>\n<p>Dr. Goessling mentioned factors like increased solar activity, excess water vapor from volcanic eruptions, and fewer atmospheric aerosol particles. <\/p>\n<p>But adding these elements still leaves 0.2 degrees Celsius (0.36 degrees Fahrenheit) unexplained.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-0-2-degree-gap-mystery\">The 0.2-degree gap mystery<\/h2>\n<p>\u201cThe \u201c0.2-degree-Celsius \u2018explanation gap\u2019 for 2023 is currently one of the most intensely discussed questions in climate research,\u201d noted Dr. Goessling.<\/p>\n<p>To investigate further, climate modelers from AWI and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecmwf.int\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ECMWF<\/a>) analyzed satellite data from NASA. <\/p>\n<p>They also used the ECMWF\u2019s reanalysis data, which combines observational data with weather models. The data revealed an alarming trend \u2013 2023 recorded the lowest planetary albedo since at least 1940.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-understanding-the-albedo-effect\">Understanding the albedo effect<\/h2>\n<p>Planetary albedo is all about how much sunlight a planet reflects back into space. Think of it as the planet\u2019s \u201cshine factor.\u201d <\/p>\n<p>Earth, for example, reflects about 30% of the sunlight that hits it, which means its albedo is 0.3 (on a scale from 0 to 1). Different surfaces on a planet contribute to this reflection. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/climate-models-underestimate-sea-ice-melt-and-global-warming\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Bright areas like ice caps<\/a> and clouds bounce a lot of light back, while darker areas like oceans and forests absorb more sunlight. <\/p>\n<p>The balance of reflected and absorbed sunlight plays a huge role in shaping a planet\u2019s climate and energy budget.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cff2.earth.com\/uploads\/2024\/12\/06173224\/earth-albedo_cloud-impact_illustration_credit-Yves-Nowak_1m.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/cff2.earth.com\/uploads\/2024\/12\/06173233\/earth-albedo_cloud-impact_illustration_credit-Yves-Nowak_1s.webp\" alt=\"Considering the globe as a whole, high clouds and cloud-free scenes result in warming of the Earth's atmosphere, as less energy escapes into space than arrives from the sun. For low clouds, it's the opposite, so their decline leads to warming. Credit: Alfred-Wegener-Institut \/ Yves Nowak\" class=\"wp-image-1952676\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cff2.earth.com\/uploads\/2024\/12\/06173233\/earth-albedo_cloud-impact_illustration_credit-Yves-Nowak_1s.webp 300w, https:\/\/cff2.earth.com\/uploads\/2024\/12\/06173233\/earth-albedo_cloud-impact_illustration_credit-Yves-Nowak_1s-150x150.webp 150w, https:\/\/cff2.earth.com\/uploads\/2024\/12\/06173233\/earth-albedo_cloud-impact_illustration_credit-Yves-Nowak_1s-32x32.webp 32w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Considering the globe as a whole, high clouds and cloud-free scenes result in warming of the Earth\u2019s atmosphere, as less energy escapes into space than arrives from the sun. For low clouds, it\u2019s the opposite, so their decline leads to warming. Credit: Alfred-Wegener-Institut \/ Yves Nowak<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>On Earth, changes in albedo can have a big impact. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/why-planting-trees-in-the-arctic-is-not-a-good-climate-solution\/\">When<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/why-planting-trees-in-the-arctic-is-not-a-good-climate-solution\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"> <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/why-planting-trees-in-the-arctic-is-not-a-good-climate-solution\/\">ice melts<\/a> due to warming, it exposes darker water or land underneath, which absorbs more sunlight and speeds up the warming process \u2014 a feedback loop known as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/could-tree-planting-warm-earth-science-behind-albedo-effect\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">albedo effect<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat caught our eye was that, in both the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nasa.gov\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">NASA<\/a> and ECMWF datasets, 2023 stood out as the year with the lowest planetary albedo,\u201d said study co-author Dr. Thomas Rackow from ECMWF.<\/p>\n<p>Lower albedo means less sunlight reflected, contributing to increased <a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/2024-shatters-heat-records-earths-hottest-year-is-here\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">global temperatures<\/a>. But what caused this drop in albedo?<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-low-altitude-clouds-and-warming-surge\">Low-altitude clouds and  warming surge<\/h2>\n<p>The answer lies in declining low-altitude clouds, particularly in the northern mid-latitudes and tropics. This trend was most pronounced over the Atlantic, which coincidentally saw unusual heat records in 2023. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s conspicuous that the eastern North Atlantic, which is one of the main drivers of the latest jump in global mean temperature, was characterized by a substantial decline in low-altitude clouds,\u201d said Dr. Goessling.<\/p>\n<p>The decline in low cloud cover means a reduction in Earth\u2019s albedo, intensifying global warming.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-role-of-clouds-in-climate-regulation\">Role of clouds in climate regulation<\/h2>\n<p>Clouds play a critical role in moderating Earth\u2019s temperature. They reflect sunlight, providing a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/oceans-cool-the-climate-more-than-previously-realized\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">cooling effect<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>Low clouds are especially important since they lack the greenhouse effect seen in higher clouds, which trap heat. <\/p>\n<p>As lower cloud cover declines, the cooling effect diminishes, contributing to warmer temperatures. \u201cIf there are fewer low clouds, we only lose the cooling effect, making things warmer,\u201d Goessling explained.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-factors-contributing-to-fewer-low-clouds\">Factors contributing to fewer low clouds<\/h2>\n<p>But what\u2019s causing fewer low-altitude clouds? A combination of factors could be at play. <\/p>\n<p>Stricter marine fuel regulations have reduced <a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/aerosol-formation-earths-lower-atmosphere-soas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">atmospheric aerosols<\/a> \u2014 tiny particles that serve as condensation nuclei for cloud formation. <\/p>\n<p>Aerosols also reflect sunlight, and fewer aerosols mean less cloud formation and less sunlight being reflected.<\/p>\n<p>Natural climate fluctuations and ocean feedbacks might also contribute, but Goessling believes these aren\u2019t the whole story. \u201cGlobal warming itself may be reducing low cloud cover,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-warming-surge-and-cloud-loss\">Warming surge and cloud loss<\/h2>\n<p>This feedback loop between warming and cloud loss could indicate a worrying trend. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf a large part of the decline in albedo is indeed due to feedbacks between global warming and low clouds, as some climate models indicate, we should expect rather intense warming in the future,\u201d noted Dr. Goessling.<\/p>\n<p>This means we might cross the critical 1.5-degree threshold of global warming sooner than anticipated. <\/p>\n<p>If that happens, the remaining carbon budgets under the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.un.org\/en\/climatechange\/paris-agreement\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Paris Agreement<\/a> would shrink, making adaptation measures even more urgent.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-cloud-cover-and-global-warming\">Cloud cover and global warming<\/h2>\n<p>The study sheds light on why temperatures surged so suddenly and highlights the importance of Earth\u2019s cloud cover in regulating climate. <\/p>\n<p>Reduced <a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/cloud-engineering-can-temporarily-cool-our-planet\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">cloud cover<\/a>, particularly at low altitudes, lessens Earth\u2019s ability to reflect solar radiation, adding to the warming already driven by greenhouse gases. <\/p>\n<p>With climate models pointing to this feedback as a significant factor, urgent action becomes even more vital to manage future warming and minimize extreme weather events.<\/p>\n<p>The study is published in the journal <a href=\"https:\/\/www.science.org\/doi\/10.1126\/science.adq7280\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Science<\/em><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014\u2013<\/p>\n<p>Like what you read? <a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/subscribe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Subscribe to our newsletter<\/a> for engaging articles, exclusive content, and the latest updates.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Check us out on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/earthsnap\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">EarthSnap<\/a>, a free app brought to you by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/author\/eralls\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Eric Ralls<\/a> and Earth.com.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014\u2013<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><script>self.__next_f.push([1,\"d:[\\\"$\\\",\\\"html\\\",null,{\\\"lang\\\":\\\"en\\\",\\\"children\\\":[[\\\"$\\\",\\\"head\\\",null,{\\\"children\\\":[[\\\"$\\\",\\\"script\\\",null,{\\\"src\\\":\\\"https:\/\/cdn.onesignal.com\/sdks\/web\/v16\/OneSignalSDK.page.js\\\",\\\"defer\\\":true}],[\\\"$\\\",\\\"script\\\",null,{\\\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\\\":{\\\"__html\\\":\\\"\\\\n                            window.OneSignalDeferred = window.OneSignalDeferred || [];\\\\n                            OneSignalDeferred.push(async function(OneSignal) {\\\\n                                await OneSignal.init({\\\\n                                    appId: 'a4c6022f-d31e-4424-bdf3-a381492e0291',\\\\n                                });\\\\n                            });\\\\n                        \\\"}}]]}],[\\\"$\\\",\\\"body\\\",null,{\\\"className\\\":\\\"__variable_55b985 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