{"id":140317,"date":"2025-02-12T05:57:01","date_gmt":"2025-02-11T22:57:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=140317"},"modified":"2025-02-12T05:57:01","modified_gmt":"2025-02-11T22:57:01","slug":"asteroid-2024-yr4-is-unlikely-to-hit-earth-but-heres-what-would-happen-if-it-did","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=140317","title":{"rendered":"Asteroid 2024 YR4 is unlikely to hit Earth, but here\u2019s what would happen if it did"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"featured featured-video video-ct\">\n<div class=\"video-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"info\">\n<div class=\"caption\">\n<p class=\"sub-text\">FILE VIDEO: A video shared from the Philippines shows a bright asteroid burning through the atmosphere on Sept. 5, 2024.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">A newly discovered asteroid being tracked by the global science community <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/earth-space\/asteroid-2024-yr4-impact-probability-rises-2032\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">has a nearly 98% chance of zooming by Earth<\/a> without touching our atmosphere. However, if Asteroid 2024 YR4 does hit Earth, most people won\u2019t even know it happened.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">&#8220;This is not a get-worried kind of situation,&#8221; asteroid and comet expert Teddy Kareta told FOX Weather.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">Kareta, a postdoctoral associate at Lowell Observatory in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/category\/arizona\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Arizona<\/a>, is among the scientists tracking Asteroid 2024 YR4 through ground-based and spacecraft data.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">In the weeks and months to come, the certainty of how big and how much risk this asteroid poses to Earth will come into focus. Right now, there is a 2.1% chance of Asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth. It still ranks a 3 out of 10 on the Torino scale, currently the greatest asteroid threat since Asteroid Apophis, which will now safely pass Earth in 2029.\u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"featured featured-image component-center\">\n<div class=\"m\"><picture><source media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/288\/162\/2024yr4_discovery_atlas.gif?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/576\/324\/2024yr4_discovery_atlas.gif?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"576\" height=\"324\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1023px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/720\/405\/2024yr4_discovery_atlas.gif?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/1440\/810\/2024yr4_discovery_atlas.gif?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1440\" height=\"810\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1024px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/668\/376\/2024yr4_discovery_atlas.gif?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/1336\/752\/2024yr4_discovery_atlas.gif?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1336\" height=\"752\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"668\" height=\"376\" src=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/668\/376\/2024yr4_discovery_atlas.gif?ve=1&amp;tl=1\" alt=\"Asteroid 2024 YR4.\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><\/div>\n<div class=\"info\">\n<div class=\"caption\">\n<p class=\"title\">Asteroid 2024 YR4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sub-text\"><strong> (NASA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">YR4 is estimated to be between 150 and 300 feet in diameter. But what we know about Asteroid 2024 YR4 is about to change.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">Next month, observations from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/earth-space\/james-webb-telescope-studying-asteroid-yr4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">world\u2019s most powerful space telescope<\/a> will hopefully provide more accurate estimates of its size. For about four hours in March, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/category\/nasa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NASA<\/a>&#8216;s James Webb Space Telescope will use its Mid-InfaRed Instrument (MIRI) to study the thermal energy from Asteroid 2024 YR4, which is another data point in figuring out how big this asteroid is.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">&#8220;You\u2019re able to measure not just how warm they are, but how big they are at the same time. Because you can figure out kind of what temperature they&#8217;ve raised themselves up to. You get a sense of what kinds of properties their surface has. It&#8217;s another way to figure out what they&#8217;re made of,&#8221; Kareta said.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">Thus far, most size estimates are based on the sunlight reflected by the asteroid.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">&#8220;We want to understand how these objects are reflecting light, because that tells you something about what they&#8217;re made out of, what their surface looks like,&#8221; Kareta said. &#8220;The problem is that you need to look at them in a lot of different techniques to really narrow down exactly what kind of composition they have.&#8221;<\/p>\n<div class=\"featured featured-image component-center\">\n<div class=\"m\"><picture><source media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/288\/162\/26504730220_6093d4a042_b.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/576\/324\/26504730220_6093d4a042_b.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"576\" height=\"324\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1023px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/720\/405\/26504730220_6093d4a042_b.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/1440\/810\/26504730220_6093d4a042_b.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1440\" height=\"810\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1024px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/668\/376\/26504730220_6093d4a042_b.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/1336\/752\/26504730220_6093d4a042_b.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1336\" height=\"752\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"668\" height=\"376\" src=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/668\/376\/26504730220_6093d4a042_b.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><\/div>\n<div class=\"info\">\n<div class=\"caption\">\n<p class=\"title\">James Webb Space Telescope&#8217;s primary mirror at NASA Goddard. Webb&#8217;s mirrors are covered in a microscopically thin layer of gold, which optimizes them for reflecting infrared light.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sub-text\"><strong> (NASA\/Chris Gunn \/ NASA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">NASA and European Space Agency planetary defense offices are providing daily updates on Asteroid 2024 YR4 as the scientific process unfolds in real time.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">&#8220;If I was a member of the public, what I want to know is that there were smart people working hard on the problem, and they were telling us things as they find out,&#8221; Kareta said.<\/p>\n<h2 data-v-4e81e892=\"\"><strong>But what if Asteroid 2024 YR4 <\/strong><strong>does<\/strong><strong> hit Earth?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">Objects around 150 feet wide have hit Earth before. If Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit the planet it would be a regional impact event, not impacting the whole planet. People, even 100 miles away, might not even feel it.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">&#8220;There&#8217;s a very, very small chance it hits the Earth at all,&#8221; Kareta said. &#8220;And then a lot of the places on Earth that it could hit could very well just end up in the Atlantic <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/category\/ocean\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ocean<\/a>.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">Technology has improved enough to track space debris and asteroids down to the minute of entry. Last year, Kareta tracked a small asteroid discovered about four hours before it impacted Earth.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">Asteroid 2024 YR4 will move out of Earth\u2019s sight by May and will not return until 2028. Still, the threat assessment should be further along, and<i><u> if<\/u><\/i> the asteroid appears headed for Earth, there will be several years to make an action plan.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/earth-space\/asteroid-breaks-up-over-philippines-asteroid-threats-earth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>ASTEROID BREAKS UP OVER PHILIPPINES HOURS AFTER DETECTION SERVING AS REMINDER OF BIGGER THREATS TO EARTH<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"featured featured-image component-center\">\n<div class=\"m\"><picture><source media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/288\/162\/asteorid2024.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/576\/324\/asteorid2024.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"576\" height=\"324\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1023px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/720\/405\/asteorid2024.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/1440\/810\/asteorid2024.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1440\" height=\"810\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1024px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/668\/376\/asteorid2024.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1, https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/1336\/752\/asteorid2024.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1 2x\" width=\"1336\" height=\"752\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"668\" height=\"376\" src=\"https:\/\/images.foxweather.com\/static.foxweather.com\/www.foxweather.com\/content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/668\/376\/asteorid2024.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1\" alt=\"Near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4 observed with the European Southern Observatory's Very Large Telescope in January 2025.\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><\/div>\n<div class=\"info\">\n<div class=\"caption\">\n<p class=\"title\">Near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4 observed with the European Southern Observatory&#8217;s Very Large Telescope in January 2025.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"sub-text\"><strong> (Credit: ESO\/O. Hainaut et al. \/ FOX Weather)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">&#8220;We would be evacuating people out of the area. We&#8217;d be telling them ahead of time,&#8221; Kareta said.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">However, until the size of the asteroid is more accurate, estimating when and where it might hit Earth will be difficult.<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">&#8220;If this thing lands in the middle of the ocean, you&#8217;re going to hear about it on the news, right? And everyone&#8217;s going to think it&#8217;s cool. But if this lands over a populated area, there&#8217;s going to be plans ahead of time. So it depends quite a bit,&#8221; Kareta said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-v-438398f6=\"\">By next month, with additional observations, the threat of Asteroid YR4 could be down to zero.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-fb+5w+4e-db+86\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3711241968723425\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7910942971\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><div data-type=\"_mgwidget\" data-widget-id=\"1660802\">\r\n<\/div>\r\n<script>(function(w,q){w[q]=w[q]||[];w[q].push([\"_mgc.load\"])})(window,\"_mgq\");\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxweather.com\/earth-space\/what-would-happen-asteroid-2024-yr4-hit-earth\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FILE VIDEO: A video shared from the Philippines shows a bright asteroid burning through the atmosphere on Sept. 5, 2024. A newly discovered asteroid being tracked by the global science &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/?p=140317\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9472],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-140317","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weather","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/140317","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=140317"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/140317\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=140317"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=140317"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hotvideos24.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=140317"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}